Line of Thunderstorms 20170707

Wonder why meteorologists are excited about the new GOES – 16 satellite?  Here is a nice example of a line of thunderstorm activity as it moves into Western NY.  While not severe, this gives us a nice example of whats to come in the future.  Coming soon will be a nice discussion about what will be available via the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager….

STAY TUNED!

Independence Day 2017

 

From our family to yours… HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY!

As we all like to celebrate, please have a safe and happy Forth of July holiday.

Bill Boggess
Forecaster

Lest we forget what this day is really all about 241 years ago

In Congress, July 4, 1776.

The unanimous Declaration of the thirteen united States of America, When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, –That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.–Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.

He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them.

He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.

He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.

He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.

He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.

He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.

He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.

He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.

He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.

He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.

He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.

He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:

For Quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:

For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:

For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:

For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent:

For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:

For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences

For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies:

For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:

For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.

He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.

He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.

He is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.

He has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands.

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our Brittish brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the united States of America, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Colonies, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States; that they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States, they have full Power to levy War, conclude Peace, contract Alliances, establish Commerce, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent States may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.

Hail Produced by Thunderstorm 20170518 In Oaks Corners, NY

The thunderstorms that moved through the area during the late afternoon hours were quite prolific hail producers.  Large hail of this variety, while not a common occurrence in this area, does happen every once in a while.  Such was the case today.  Brian M. posted these photos to our Facebook page.  The last two images were from Oaks Corners FD Lt. Tom Snyder and Oaks Corners Firefighter Jeff Arnold of his porch roof.

Bill Boggess
Forecaster
Storm Trackers Team

Thunderstorms starting to fire across the area.

As expected thunderstorm activity is starting to increase across the area.  As you can see from the included Buffalo doppler radar image, a couple of thunderstorms have popped up.  These storm cells may contain frequent lightning, strong gusty winds, heavy rain, and small hail.  Anyone in the path of these storms should seek safe shelter.

REPORTING INFORMATION:
Weather Reporting Hotline: 315.332.1043
Email: Stormtrackershotline@gmail.com

Bill Boggess
Forecaster
Storm Trackers Team

Warm Summery Day… Thunderstorms along a cold front later.

Special Weather Report
Thursday, May 18, 2017 @ 9:30 AM

Another very warm summer day is in store for the area today. Temperatures once again will be in the 80s to around 90 with a touch of humidity as well! An approaching cold front from the northwest will spark a couple of rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms. The first one being later this afternoon and mainly across the Finger Lakes. Tonight another round of showers and thunderstorms should move through with the front itself. Any of the thunderstorms could contain very strong winds, hail, frequent lightning strikes and heavy rains. We will continue to monitor this situation and issue further updates or alerts as needed.

Jack Matthys
CEO / Founder
Storm Trackers Team NY

Waterfront Flooding Special Report

STORM TRACKERS TEAM NY ALERT

Waterfront Flooding Special Report

Saturday, May 6, 2017 @ 6:50 PM

The Storm Trackers Team NY has issued an…

ALERT(S):

ACTION Alert for Waterfront Flooding
State of Emergency Village of Sodus Point
State of Emergency for Wayne County Bays / Harbors
State of Emergency for Fair Haven Bay Area
State of Emergency for Irondequoit Bay

COVERAGE AREA:

ACTION Alert Coverage Area:

Irondequoit Bay to Fair Haven
(Including all bays & inlets)

TIME FRAME:

Start Time: Currently Active
End Time: Until further notice

NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST:

Winds / Waves

Tonight:
Direction: WSW
Speeds: 5-15 mph increasing to 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph
Waves: Bays: 0-2 / Lakeside: 1-3 ft building to 3-5 ft

Sunday:
Direction: W
Speeds: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph
Waves: Bays: 1-2 ft / Lakeside: building to 4-7 ft

Sunday Night:
Direction: NW
Speeds: 10-20 mph
Waves: Bays: 0-2 ft / Lakeside: 4-7 ft down to 3-5 ft

Monday:
Direction: NW
Speeds: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph
Waves: Bays: 1-2 ft / Lakeside: 3-5 ft

Daily Water Levels:

May 1, 2017: 247.78
May 2, 2017: 247.97
May 3, 2017: 247.98
May 4, 2017: 248.02

FORECASTER’S CHATTER:

Pictures coming into our office today continues to show flooding problems on the increase as water levels on Lake Ontario continue to slowly rise. The weather pattern we are locked in should continue to bring showers to the area through Monday, with even a few wet snow flakes mixed in. Temps should warmup a bit by mid week and hopefully should see some drier weather move in. If you live in a zone near Lake Ontario, bays or inlets, please remain on alert and have a plan to evacuate if needed. We will be entering yet another period of significant wind and wave action starting later tonight and continuing into Monday on a W to NW wind flow. Be ready for more flooding and erosion to occur. Stay tuned!

LEVEL DEFINITIONS:

Awareness Level – Nuisance weather expected, some level of caution needed.

Potential Level – Possibility of hazardous weather. Continue to monitor situation.

Action Level – Hazardous weather is likely to occur. Some level of action will be needed.

Immediate Action Level – Hazardous weather is likely to occur shortly. Action is required now! Mainly used for thunderstorms and tornadoes

Emergency Level – Extreme to catastrophic weather is expected or has already begun to occur. Action is needed to save life and property!
REPORTING INFORMATION:

Weather Reporting Hotline: 315.332.1043

Email: stormtrackershotline@gmail.com * Send pictures or video

If able to do so safely, please report severe weather conditions or damage to us immediately!

Jack Matthys
CEO / Founder
Storm Trackers Team

Rainy Day…

UGH!  We absolutely do not need any more rain!  Unfortunately, this looks to be a rather dismal weekend coming up.  Low pressure over Ohio looks to move in our direction bring a rainy period.  Fortunately, it appears as though the steady rain has moved away for now.  Has anyone mentioned snow?  There is a definite chance for this showery precipitation to mix with or change over to some wet snow Saturday night and Sunday. 

January 23, 2013 Mesoscale Vortex Event Over Lake Ontario

mesoscale_vortex 20130125What happens when you have a very cold arctic airmass, low level wind speed decrease, and a significant temperature difference between the warm lake surface and the cold air mass converge over Lake Ontario?  This happened as the lake effect snow event of January 23, 2013 was starting to wind down.  Low to mid level wind speeds decreased and the conditions were favorable for a mesoscale vortex to develop along a convergence boundary.  The radar image from the National Weather Service Buffalo facebook page shows a dramatic image of the event.  More information regarding this event can be found from the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA).

Storm Tracker Team Alert #1 20130123

SnowReports 20130123‎**STORM TRACKERS TEAM ALERT **

HEADLINES:

Lake effect snows con

ALERTS ISSUED:

Lake Effect Snow Advisory for Wayne and Monroe Counties through early afternoon.

SUMMARY:

Finally the snow band behaved itself last night keeping the heaviest snows closer to the lakeshore with much lessor amounts the further away you were from the lake. However, we are all sharing in on the cold, arctic air this morning, brrr!! This thought however, may warm you up a little. We may be around 40 degrees by next week!! Arctic air will continue to cross Lake Ontario today producing a bit more lake effect fluff for some areas mainly in Northeastern Monroe and parts of Wayne counties today, but should begin to ease up this afternoon. Current radar is showing heavier snows over the Webster area extending southeast through Walworth, Marion, to near Newark. Be careful out there!

FORECAST:

Today: Mostly cloudy with areas of lake snows mainly north of the thruway accumulating another 2-5 inches in the most persistent snow locations. Lake snows should begin to ease up more this afternoon however. Otherwise a mixture of clouds and sunshine further south with a few flurries about. Light winds, but remaining cold! Still tough traveling in areas of lake snows.

PREPARATIONS:

Be prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions in lake snow zones. Visibilities can be reduced quickly in heavier snow and you can lose sight of the road and people ahead of you. Also, if you will be outside for any length of time today, dress in layered clothing. Stay tuned for further updates.

Please report weather conditions and snowfall in your area as this event gets underway. This will help us pin point the exact area of heavy snowfall. Thank you!!

Jack Matthys
CEO / Founder

 

Storm Tracker Team Alert #4 20130122

Lakesnows 2013-01-22**STORM TRACKERS TEAM ALERT **

HEADLINES:

Lake effect snows, brisk winds, low windchills!

ALERTS ISSUED:

Lake Effect Snow Warning / Windchill Warning for Oswego County until Midday Wednesday.
Lake Effect Snow Warning for Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Monroe Counties through Wednesday morning.

SUMMARY:

One thing I learned years ago, is Mother Nature calls the shots and today she was calling all of them! The computers models for much of the day indicted a quicker southward movement then what actually happened. Several little features moving along the band itself, caused it to buckle in spots, forcing the band to either stay put in one location a little longer and even jog a but further north at times today. These factors caused the band to slow its overall southward movement, which was very frustrating in trying to predict this. So, with all this in mind, winds are becoming more and more northwesterly and we are seeing the band make more of a jog now to the south. Some of you, myself included, noticed a southwest wind this afternoon along the lakeshore. This wind was actually helping to feed the inflow of the snow band out over the lake. Also of note, one of the Storm Trackers Team meteorologists reported a waterspout this afternoon about 3:45 pm, off from Ontario in Wayne County!! Here are my latest details on the forecast.

FORECAST:

Tonight:

North of the Thruway: Mostly cloudy with occasional flurries and snow showers. Heavier lake snows developing. Amounts will vary depending on how long the band sits over any one location, but some areas in the persistent snows, could see 6-12 inches, while other locations see lessor amounts. Traveling will be difficult at times in lake snow areas. Brisk and bitterly cold with low windchills.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and areas of lake snows. Lake snows should begin to ease up during the afternoon. New accumulations of 2-5 inches, with 1-3 inches possible further south of the thruway. Brisk and cold with difficult traveling mainly north of the thruway at times in the morning.

PREPARATIONS:

Be prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions. Visibilities can be reduced quickly in heavy snow and you can lose sight of the road and people ahead of you. Also, if you will be outside for any length of time today, dress in layered clothing. Windchills will be below zero for the rest of the day. Stay tuned for further updates.

Please report weather conditions and snowfall in your area as this event gets underway. This will help us pin point the exact area of heavy snowfall. Thank you!!

Jack Matthys
CEO / Founder